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In our Tropical Kitchen this morning

 

Saturday, August 4, 2018

In our Tropical Kitchen this morning.  I looks like it is going to be busy next several days in the Eastern Pacific basin.  So starting the brother Hector.  He is closer to Hawaii than Baja and has now been upgraded to a Major storm, a Category 3 hurricane.
Next: Most likely tomorrow the National Hurricane Center will name the storm that will be spinning up west of Manzanillo.  Her name will be Ileana.  She is being forecast to slowly parallel the coast moving NNW Monday and by Tuesday be west of Cabo Corrienties.  By Wednesday around 3-4 hundred miles SW of the cape.  Early forecast for the cape are for cloudiness, possibly some rain and winds less than 20 as it passes well SW of the cape and by Thursday she’ll be well on her way to Hawaii. The FORECAST shows no danger to land.

          On the back burner an area of disturbed weather west of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is getting the attention of the National Hurricane Center.  They are giving this a 90% chance of spinning up to a tropical storm.  Both the European and the TY model show this wannabe being gobbled up by Ileana before it has a chance for further development. 

Also on the back burner the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical
Analysis Forecast is showing a tropical wave just emerging from around Guatemala this morning.  There is a lot to thunderbumper activity all along the coast from the Gulf of Tehuantepec to Panama.  They are saying that there is a 30% chance this wave will hook up with a lonely low as it moves slowly west and spin up into something tropical. We’ll see?  

 

 

 

2018 Tropical Storms

Click on an underlined storm for details

 

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Aletta

6/9-6/12

Cat 1 

 

Bud

6/9-6/16

Cat 4 

 

 

Carlotta

6/16-6/19

TS

 

 

Daniel 

6-25-

6/28

TS

 

 

Emilia

6/28- 7/1

Cat 3

 

 
Favio
07/1-07/5

TS

 


 

Gilma 

7/26-7/28

TS

 

Hector

07/01-

Cat 3 

 

Ileana

08/05-

 

 

John 

 
Kristy
 

Lane 

 

Mariam 

 

Norman 

 

Olivia 

 

Paul 

 

Rosa 

 

Sergio 

 

Tara 

 

Vincente 

  Willa   Xavier   Yolanda  

Zeke

 
 

 

 

 

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